Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

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Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using results and 2018 loop information, we provide a championship pick and also handicap the race.
Following 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their own careers, while Logano is attempting to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himselfbut awakened 25 top-10 endings to make his shot at Homestead.

Using historic loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a few other MENCS monitors at 1.5 miles in length, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers progressive banking, which enables lines to run .

The track surface is also very abrasive, which wears out tires fast and makes rubberized a massive benefit.

With tire wear making cars challenging to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to select different lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile paths which are overly reliant on aero for speed and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the past four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races might appear a little arbitrary, but that amount was picked on by me . 2014 was the year which NASCAR went into the playoff format in which drivers progress through the game’s playoff until four remain to race .

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