UFC FN150 Betting Tips & Plays

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Mike Perry Free Breakdown
Perry brings enormous power on the feet and a durable style to adopt brawls. He can be outmanoeuvred by technical boxers but against the likes of Ponzinibbio, a top rated aggressive striker for the division, he had been very competitive. Perry is strong in the clinch but his takedown defense remains unproven against a legitimate grappler. Cowboy could harness the ground game as he’s underrated wrestling, but he tends to fight with inconsistent gameplans. Getting sucked into brawls is a common problem and here against Perry that could be a significant mistake. He has big electricity himself but both men are very hittable. On the toes it probably favours Perry, at least for the first half of the struggle when he’s most dangerous. Look for a back and forth warfare, together with the durability of Perry making the difference — as both men absorb deep damage.Andrei Arlovski Breakdown
Arlovski is on a three battle losing streak but has been competitive in all fights going way back to his KO loss to Ngannou. At 40 years old he brings a much less aggressive style these days which has lead to six sequential choices. His output looks to be slowing but his exact boxing fashion stays, allowing him to function behind a jab against slower opponents. Sakai is much younger so could be improving, but so far has failed to impress. He’s big and yells powerful yet slow helpless strikes, with low volume. Mostly a boxer, Arlovski will not have to be worried about too many different weapons.
This is very likely to be a slow struggle with the effective striker coming out on top. Look for Arlovski to prevent exchanges and poke Sakai from the outside or use his wrestling to maintain him against the weapon. If he can avoid getting caught a decision here is likely for the underdog.
Bet = Arlovski at 2.30 (+130) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.90 Units.
Virna Jandiroba Breakdown
Jandiroba is a severe BJJ blackbelt making her UFC introduction with a 14-0 record. She has jiu-jitsu wins over both Claudia Gadelha and Amanda Nunes. Whilst limited with striking, she’s relentless with takedowns and has a huge array of methods to acquire conflicts to the floor. On top she is very strong, maintaining control and attacking subs. That is obviously a massive step up in competition by Invicta against Esparza, a true veteran. Carla is on a losing streak against fellow grapplers and hasn’t shown great takedown shield to match her wrestling skills. She’d be best to try and keep this fight standing where her enhanced striking should have the ability to edge out quantity.
Jandiroba isn’t shown at this level but looks to be the real deal, demonstrating outstanding method and composure. Worst case scenario Esparza can defend off her back and make scrambles to induce striking exchanges, taking us into a close decision. A better situation is Jandiroba dominating with her top control and procuring a unanimous conclusion or locating a submission. An Esparza finish is quite unlikely. Given the odds and various avenues to success, a shot on the newcomer at even money is fantastic price.

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